Mid ka mid ah tilmaamayaasha ugu muhiimsan ee isbeddelka suuqa kiimikada Shiinaha waa isbeddelka qiimaha, taas oo ilaa xad ka tarjumaysa isbeddelka qiimaha alaabta kiimikada.Warqadan, waxaan is barbardhigi doonaa qiimaha kiimikooyinka waaweyn ee Shiinaha 15kii sano ee la soo dhaafay waxaana si kooban u falanqeyn doonaa qaabka isbeddelka qiimaha kiimikada muddada-dheer.

Marka hore, fiiri isbeddelada heerka qiimaha guud.Sida laga soo xigtay Xafiiska Tirakoobka Qaranka, GDP-ga Shiinaha ayaa sii waday inuu muujiyo heerarka kobaca wanaagsan ee 15-kii sano ee la soo dhaafay, taasoo ka tarjumaysa isbeddelka qiimaha iyo heerarka sicir bararka CPI ayaa sidoo kale muujisay isbeddel wanaagsan oo ku saabsan tusmooyinka qiimaha inta badan 15kii sano ee la soo dhaafay.

Sawirka Jaantuska 1 Isbarbardhigga GDP iyo CPI ee heerarka kobaca sanadlaha ah ee Shiinaha 15kii sano ee la soo dhaafay

Marka loo eego laba tilmaamayaal dhaqaale ee Shiinaha, labadaba xajmiga dhaqaalaha Shiinaha iyo heerka qiimaha ayaa si weyn u koray.Isbeddelka qiimaha 58 kiimikooyinka bulk ee Shiinaha 15kii sano ee la soo dhaafay waa la baaray waxaana la sameeyay garaaf khadka isbeddelka qiimaha iyo garaaf isbeddelka kobaca isku-dhafka ah ayaa la sameeyay.Qaababka isbedbeddelka soo socda ayaa laga arki karaa garaafyada.

1. Ka mid ah 58 kiimikooyinka bulk-ka ah ee la daba-galay, qiimaha badeecadaha intooda badani waxay muujiyeen isbeddel daciif ah 15-kii sano ee la soo dhaafay, kuwaas oo 31 ka mid ah qiimihiisu hoos u dhacay 15kii sano ee la soo dhaafay, taas oo ka dhigan 53% wadarta saamiga tirakoobka;Tirada kiimikooyinka ugu badan ayaa sidaas ku kordhay 27, taasoo ka dhigan 47%.In kasta oo qiimaha dhaqaala-dhaqaale iyo guud ahaan uu sare u kacayo, qiimaha kiimikooyinka intooda badan may raacin, ama xitaa hoos umay dhicin.Waxaa jira sababo badan oo tan ah, ka sokow dhimista kharashka ee ay keentay horumarka tignoolajiyada, waxaa sidoo kale jira kobac awoodeed oo halis ah, tartan adag, xakamaynta qiimaha dhamaadka alaabta ceeriin (saliid cayriin, iwm.), iwm. Dabcan, arrimaha saamaynta leh iyo Macnaha hawlgalka ee qiimaha maciishada iyo qiimaha kiimikaad aad ayay u kala duwan yihiin.

2. 27 kiimikadood ee bulk-ka ah ee kor u kacday, ma jiraan wax alaab ah oo qiimahoodu kor u kacay in ka badan 5% 15kii sano ee la soo dhaafay, kaliya 8 badeeco ayaa kordhay in ka badan 3%, kuwaas oo ay ka mid yihiin badeecooyinka sulfur iyo maleic anhydride ayaa kordhay inta badan.Si kastaba ha ahaatee, 10 badeeco ayaa hoos u dhacay in ka badan 3%, taas oo si weyn uga miisaan culus alaabooyinka kor u kacaya.15kii sano ee la soo dhaafay, xawliga sare ee qiimaha kiimikaad wuu ka daciifsan yahay hoos u dhaca, jawiga daciifka ah ee suuqa kiimikaad waa mid xoogan.

3. In kasta oo qaar ka mid ah alaabooyinka kiimikaad ay kacsan yihiin mustaqbalka fog, suuqa kiimikaad ayaa caadi ku soo noqday tan iyo xilligii faafitaanka ka dib ee 2021. Maqnaanshaha qodobbada qaabdhismeedka warshadaha ee lama filaanka ah, sicirka suuqa hadda jira ayaa asal ahaan ka tarjumaya saadka iyo xaaladda baahida Alaabta Shiinaha.

Marka loo eego aragtida isbeddelka, isbeddelka guud ee isbeddelka suuqa kiimikada ee Shiinaha ayaa xiriir xun la leh kobaca dhaqaalaha, kaas oo si toos ah ula xiriira dheelitir la'aanta qaab dhismeedka saadka iyo baahida suuqa kiimikada Shiinaha.Iyada oo horumarinta isbeddelka miisaanka ee warshadaha kiimikada ee Shiinaha sannadihii la soo dhaafay, xidhiidhka baahida saadka ee suuqyo badan oo kiimiko ah ayaa isbeddelay.Waqtigan xaadirka ah, waxaa jira isku dheelitir la'aanta sii kordheysa ee qaabka wax soo saarka ee suuqa Shiinaha.

Ka dib markii meesha laga saaro qodobka sicir bararka, inta badan qiimaha kiimikaad ee Shiinaha ayaa hoos u dhacay 15kii sano ee la soo dhaafay, taas oo aan ku habboonayn jihada isbeddelka qiimaha ee aan hadda aragno.Sare u kaca hadda ee qiimaha kiimikada badan ee Shiinaha ayaa ka tarjumaysa arrimaha sicir bararka marka loo eego qiimaha.Korodhka sicir bararka iyo dayactirka qiimaha suuqa oo daciifa ee ka imanaya wareegyadii dheeraa ee hore ayaa sidoo kale si weyn u muujinaya hoos u dhaca qiimaha badeecooyin badan oo badan iyo iskahorimaadka sii xoogaysanaya ee u dhexeeya saadka iyo baahida warshadaha kiimikada.Horey u socoshada, warshadaha kiimikaad ee Shiinaha ayaa sii wadi doona inay kordho, qiimaha suuqyada badeecadaha ee Shiinaha ayaa la filayaa inay sii ahaato mid daciif ah oo aan degganayn wareegga dheer ee soo socda illaa 2025.

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