1. Falanqaynta Qiimaha

 

Xogta ku saabsan warshadaha ketone phenolic ee Shiinaha Juun 2024

 

Suuqa Phenol:

 

Bishii Juun, sicirka suuqa phenol wuxuu muujiyay kor u kac guud, iyadoo celceliska qiimaha bishii uu gaaray RMB 8111/ton, ilaa RMB 306.5/ton marka loo eego bishii hore, koror weyn oo ah 3.9%. Isbeddelkan kor u kaca ah waxaa inta badan loo aaneynayaa sahayda suuqa oo ciriiri ku ah, gaar ahaan gobolka waqooyi, halkaasoo sahaydu aad ugu yar tahay, iyadoo dhirta Shandong iyo Dalian ay dib u habeyn ku sameeyeen, taasoo keentay hoos u dhaca saadka. Isla mar ahaantaana, culeyska dhirta BPA ayaa bilaabay in ka badan sidii la filayay, isticmaalka phenol ayaa si aad ah u kordhay, taasoo sii xumeyneysa iska hor imaadka u dhexeeya saadka iyo baahida suuqa. Intaa waxaa dheer, qiimaha sare ee benzene saafiga ah ee dhamaadka alaabta ceeriin ayaa sidoo kale siisay taageero xooggan qiimaha phenol. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, dhammaadka bisha, qiimaha phenol wuxuu isu beddelay wax yar daciif ah sababtoo ah khasaaraha muddada dheer ee BPA iyo wareegga la filayo ee benzene saafi ah bilaha Luulyo-Agoosto.

 

Suuqa acetone:

 

Si la mid ah suuqa phenol, suuqa acetone waxa kale oo uu muujiyay isbeddel yar bishii Juun, iyada oo celceliska qiimaha bishiiba yahay RMB 8,093.68 halkii ton, kor u kaca RMB 23.4 tan bishii hore, korodh yar oo ah 0.3%. Kor u kaca suuqa acetone waxaa inta badan loo aaneeyay dareenka ganacsi ee wanaagsanaa iyadoo ay ugu wacan tahay filashada warshadaha ee dayactirka dhexe ee Juulaay-Agoosto iyo hoos u dhaca imaatinka dibadda laga keeno mustaqbalka. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, maadaama marinnada hoose ay dheefshiidayeen kaydinta hore iyo baahida loo qabo dareerayaasha yaryar ay hoos u dhaceen, qiimaha acetone wuxuu bilaabay inuu daciifo dhammaadka bisha, isagoo hoos ugu dhacay ilaa RMB 7,850/mt. Sifooyinka mala-awaalka ah ee isku-kalsoonaanta ee Acetone ayaa sidoo kale horseeday in warshaduhu ay diiradda saaraan kaydka bullish, iyada oo alaabada terminal ay kor u kacday.

 

Jaantuska isbeddelka ee celceliska qiimaha phenol iyo acetone ee suuqa gudaha laga bilaabo 2023 ilaa 2024

 

2.falanqaynta sahayda

 

Shaxda isbarbardhigga ee wax soo saarka bilaha ah ee phenol iyo acetone laga bilaabo 2023 ilaa 2024

 

Bishii Juun, wax soo saarka phenol wuxuu ahaa 383,824 tan, oo hoos u dhacay 8,463 tan sanad ka hor; Wax soo saarka acetone wuxuu ahaa 239,022 tan, oo hoos uga dhacay 4,654 tan sanad ka hor. Heerka bilawga ganacsiga ee Phenol iyo ketone ayaa hoos u dhacay, heerka bilawga warshaduhu wuxuu ahaa 73.67% bishii Juun, hoos 2.7% laga soo bilaabo Maajo. Bilawga hoose ee geedka Dalian ayaa si tartiib tartiib ah u fiicnaaday, hoos u dhigaya sii deynta acetone, taas oo sii saameynaysa saadka suuqa.

 

Saddex, falanqaynta baahida

 

Shaxda isbarbardhigga ee heerarka hawlgalka ee ketones phenolic, bisphenol A, isopropanol, iyo MMA laga bilaabo 2023 ilaa 20124

 

Bisphenol A heerka bilawga bisha Juun si weyn ayuu kor ugu kacay 70.08%, ilaa 9.98% laga soo bilaabo Maajo, isagoo siinaya taageero xooggan baahida phenol iyo acetone. Heerka bilawga resin phenolic iyo unugyada MMA ayaa sidoo kale kordhay, kor u kacay 1.44% iyo 16.26% YoY siday u kala horreeyaan, taasoo muujinaysa isbeddello togan oo baahida hoose ah. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, heerka bilawga geedka isopropanol wuxuu kacay 1.3% YoY, laakiin guud ahaan kobaca baahida ayaa ahaa mid xadidan.

 

3.Falanqaynta xaaladda alaabada

 

Tirakoobyada isbeddellada alaabada ee phenol iyo acetone ee dekedaha Bariga Shiinaha laga bilaabo 2023 ilaa 2024

 

Bishii Juun, suuqa phenol wuxuu xaqiiqsaday in kaydka, kaydka warshadda iyo kaydka dekedda Jiangyin labaduba ay hoos u dhaceen, waxayna ku soo noqdeen heerka caadiga ah dhammaadka bisha. Taas bedelkeeda, alaabada dekedaha ee suuqa acetone waa ururtay oo heerkeedu sarreeyo, taas oo muujinaysa heerka uu marayo saadka aad u badan laakiin kobaca baahida suuqa ee aan ku filnayn.

 

4.Falanqaynta guud ee faa'iidada

 

Iyada oo ay saamaysay korodhka qiimaha alaabta ceeriin, Bariga Shiinaha phenol ketone hal tan qiimaha ayaa kordhay 509 yuan / tan bishii Juun. Waxaa ka mid ah, qiimaha liiska ee benzene saafi ah ee bilowga bisha soo jiidatay ilaa 9450 yuan / tonne, shirkad batroolka ah ee Bariga Shiinaha, celceliska qiimaha benzene saafi ah wuxuu kacay 519 yuan / tonne marka la barbar dhigo May; Qiimaha propylene ayaa sidoo kale sii waday inuu kordho, celceliska qiimaha 83 yuan / tonne wuxuu ka sarreeyaa bishii May. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, inkastoo qiimaha kor u kaca, warshadaha ketone phenol ayaa wali wajahaya xaalad khasaare ah, warshadaha bisha Juun, lumin 490 yuan / tonne; bisphenol Warshadaha celceliska faa'iidada guud ee bishii waa -1086 yuan / tonne, taasoo muujinaysa faa'iidada liidata ee warshadaha.

 

Marka la soo koobo, bishii Juun, suuqyada phenol iyo acetone waxay muujiyeen isbeddello qiimo oo kala duwan oo hoos yimaada doorka labanlaab ee xiisadda saadka iyo kobaca baahida. Mustaqbalka, dhammaadka dayactirka dhirta iyo isbeddelka baahida hoose, saadka suuqa iyo baahida ayaa la hagaajin doonaa oo isbeddellada qiimaha ayaa isbeddeli doona. Dhanka kale, korodhka joogtada ah ee qiimaha alaabta ceeriin waxay keeni doontaa cadaadis kharash badan warshadaha, waxaanan u baahanahay inaan fiiro gaar ah u yeelano dhaqdhaqaaqa suuqa si aan ula qabsano khataraha iman kara.


Waqtiga boostada: Jul-04-2024